Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb387be4c84846e206ad75440cd15530bee53506b620a496851d4d6e3de7c422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 7c | 11,099$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.93 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 13c | 10,543$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.3 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 6c | 10,294$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.64 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 8c | 8,336$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.34 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,709$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 1c | 3,054$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 3,049$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 7c | 2,300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,703$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 1,449$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…39cebacked Yes | 8c | 1,356$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked Yes | 8c | 1,276$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…eb3ebacked Yes | 4c | 434.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 7c | 427.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…7aa0backed Yes | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 8c | 241.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 9c | 221.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 147.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 9c | 122.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.