Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UTEP Miners vs. New Mexico State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb5cb2cdbee09991c147ff6a688ef7fe795a94305e0c3cd2b19d6745f0b72dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico State Aggiesof UTEP Miners, New Mexico State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UTEP Miners | 9c | 19,584$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 79c | 1,691$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.14 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UTEP Miners | 35c | 1,282$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked UTEP Miners | 27c | 1,026$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed UTEP Miners | 27c | 456.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UTEP Miners | 12c | 411.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UTEP Miners | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed New Mexico State Aggies | 73c | 280.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 72c | 275.11$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked UTEP Miners | 25c | 268.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UTEP Miners | 11c | 203.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New Mexico State Aggies | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UTEP Miners | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New Mexico State Aggies | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 73c | 174.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Mexico State Aggies | 69c | 149.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed New Mexico State Aggies | 68c | 133.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed UTEP Miners | 30c | 132$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UTEP Miners | 19c | 79.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…4fc5backed New Mexico State Aggies | 75c | 68.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked UTEP Miners | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed New Mexico State Aggies | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed New Mexico State Aggies | 73c | 55.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 73c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Mexico State Aggies | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed New Mexico State Aggies | 67c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New Mexico State Aggies | 75c | 18.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed New Mexico State Aggies | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6031…b6dbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…db3dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTEP Miners vs. New Mexico State Aggiesthis page
- UTEP Miners vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.