Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9d923a957eb7dc675bcffbfd1c3fdb0c9e1596d00a715c0c8bf67710b7833f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof KRÜ Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed LOUD | 68c | 1,523$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.32 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed KRÜ Esports | 32c | 1,154$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.89 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed LOUD | 67c | 570.12$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked KRÜ Esports | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 228.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 187.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed LOUD | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked KRÜ Esports | 31c | 111.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LOUD | 47c | 108.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked KRÜ Esports | 47c | 104.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked KRÜ Esports | 35c | 91.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked LOUD | 60c | 85.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed LOUD | 57c | 78.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed KRÜ Esports | 32c | 66.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed LOUD | 68c | 65.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked KRÜ Esports | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 56.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…4b1cbacked LOUD | 48c | 53.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LOUD | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked KRÜ Esports | 33c | 38.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed LOUD | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked KRÜ Esports | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed LOUD | 68c | 23.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaLOUD won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.