Fifa International · resolved market
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc4130b0842c4c1dc142382761f75b935e60eea01f61a3597448a102570c3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 66c | 533.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 25c | 366.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.54 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 38c | 350$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 277.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Over | 75c | 219$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 177.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +31%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 23c | 68.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc2…578abacked Over | 59c | 51.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 34c | 45.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Under | 33c | 45.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Under | 41c | 36.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 38c | 28.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…0334backed Over | 76c | 17.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…fef6backed Over | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.