TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 6.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,384 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9422…f273backed Over39c488.72$188 inLost-$188.3518053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under61c340.83$208 inWon+$133.229154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over25c325$81 inLost-$81.3312853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over24c173.78$42 inLost-$42.053,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under61c109.39$67 inWon+$42.8451859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c88.44$34 inLost-$34.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under62c77.66$48 inWon+$29.5126047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c59.99$22 inLost-$22.52,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Under66c52.96$35 inWon+$1816946.2%78 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14e…61dabacked Under58c39.56$23 inWon+$16.56742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under64c22.22$14 inWon+$870948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Under76c15$11 inWon+$3.682969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.