Lol · resolved market
LoL: EKO Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe88fecb72734d06c83bd12ecfc9b51d91a8bfab672050134c21daa82fc2fd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EKO Esportsof EKO Esports, Aeterna Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Aeterna Esports | 31c | 734.52$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aeterna Esports | 5c | 678.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked EKO Esports | 69c | 676.22$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.63 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked EKO Esports | 72c | 256.7$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aeterna Esports | 6c | 249.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aeterna Esports | 6c | 204.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Aeterna Esports | 8c | 193.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Aeterna Esports | 6c | 164.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Aeterna Esports | 8c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Aeterna Esports | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aeterna Esports | 9c | 124.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Aeterna Esports | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Aeterna Esports | 27c | 41.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EKO Esports | 75c | 39.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked EKO Esports | 73c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed EKO Esports | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed EKO Esports | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked EKO Esports | 74c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.