Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfb45e9b7ed7d61165033cf18a4d6862e48743e9b3841921a182cfa7db919eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppersof New Mexico State Aggies, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 5,240$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.92 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 68c | 4,284$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.88 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 69c | 2,222$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico State Aggies | 31c | 2,108$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 69c | 1,099$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 71c | 701.3$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed New Mexico State Aggies | 29c | 655.16$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 68c | 472.78$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 31c | 367.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 74c | 356.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 70c | 282.45$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 70c | 276.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 206.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New Mexico State Aggies | 31c | 117.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 68c | 97.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 70c | 97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…95fcbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 69c | 94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…2772backed New Mexico State Aggies | 31c | 93.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411b…9924backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536c…f559backed New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 91.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 75.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f5…e67ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 51.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed New Mexico State Aggies | 30c | 47.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 43.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 31c | 42.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 32c | 33.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 70c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 79c | 19.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 68c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.