Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc078e8a5506f6c92a94c8babc089a050e5bd664cb9acd5591c98913997dd2e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,954 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dd6…871bbacked Under | 56c | 572$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…2089backed Over | 43c | 437$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…1d7abacked Over | 43c | 413$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…8f01backed Over | 44c | 402$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…f187backed Over | 44c | 391$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…4262backed Over | 44c | 383$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c15…443fbacked Over | 44c | 371$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…bcecbacked Under | 56c | 353$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8036backed Under | 56c | 348$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f2…ccddbacked Under | 56c | 330$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…d747backed Under | 56c | 313$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…1842backed Over | 44c | 306$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…6326backed Over | 44c | 296$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…917bbacked Under | 56c | 287$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…9787backed Over | 44c | 263$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…7f28backed Under | 57c | 263$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…6d15backed Over | 44c | 257$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…8296backed Under | 57c | 253$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…18cfbacked Over | 44c | 251$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…12d5backed Under | 57c | 249$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…6809backed Under | 57c | 239$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 235.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7254…1eabbacked Over | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Under | 62c | 224.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…719dbacked Under | 56c | 214$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…21fcbacked Under | 57c | 211$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…8679backed Under | 56c | 205$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…adb4backed Under | 57c | 163$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 44c | 42.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 53c | 33.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 47c | 33.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 32.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 45c | 22.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs Frites Esports Club (+1.5)S2G Esports won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group FS2G Esports won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports - Game 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports - Game 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.