Lol · resolved market
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x202f8a3b6c091248dd95762e115fb5d13e2e74e08a837ad06040ba171be17f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof Frites Esports Club, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,778 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc167…51b0backed Frites Esports Club | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed S2G Esports | 70c | 2,987$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.16 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Frites Esports Club | 19c | 2,452$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.58 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked S2G Esports | 70c | 1,888$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.92 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed S2G Esports | 73c | 1,374$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Frites Esports Club | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Frites Esports Club | 22c | 946$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Frites Esports Club | 23c | 731.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed S2G Esports | 67c | 672.58$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.37 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Frites Esports Club | 31c | 623.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Frites Esports Club | 14c | 555$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Frites Esports Club | 2c | 529$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked S2G Esports | 79c | 502.01$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Frites Esports Club | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Frites Esports Club | 22c | 497.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Frites Esports Club | 30c | 470.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed S2G Esports | 76c | 455.54$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed S2G Esports | 69c | 433.22$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked S2G Esports | 70c | 419.82$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Frites Esports Club | 18c | 306.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…fc36backed S2G Esports | 68c | 285$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…41a9backed S2G Esports | 68c | 285$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2122…ae6ebacked S2G Esports | 68c | 273$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Frites Esports Club | 32c | 256.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb808…ef66backed S2G Esports | 68c | 201$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Frites Esports Club | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Frites Esports Club | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…9c40backed Frites Esports Club | 32c | 176$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…c716backed Frites Esports Club | 32c | 171$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Frites Esports Club | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4288…4f37backed Frites Esports Club | 32c | 152$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Frites Esports Club | 14c | 144.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…3364backed Frites Esports Club | 32c | 142$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4a…3f91backed Frites Esports Club | 32c | 141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…a529backed Frites Esports Club | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb942…8370backed Frites Esports Club | 32c | 127$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Frites Esports Club | 33c | 108.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked S2G Esports | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Frites Esports Club | 18c | 89.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked S2G Esports | 68c | 79.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Frites Esports Club | 19c | 77.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Frites Esports Club | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Frites Esports Club | 20c | 68.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Frites Esports Club | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Frites Esports Club | 36c | 55.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed S2G Esports | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Frites Esports Club | 32c | 49.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed S2G Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed S2G Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked S2G Esports | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs Frites Esports Club (+1.5)S2G Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group FS2G Esports won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports - Game 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.