Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc2f69e02d96c3d9b41d1d43d2be5f78eb1777dce2c09ee30aed4a4ba27efd02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, KRÜ Blaze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefa3…7585backed KRÜ Blaze | 28c | 889.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed BESTIA | 77c | 663.15$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked BESTIA | 78c | 628.78$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed KRÜ Blaze | 22c | 599.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed BESTIA | 71c | 282.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed KRÜ Blaze | 21c | 280.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed BESTIA | 73c | 246.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked KRÜ Blaze | 12c | 220.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed BESTIA | 79c | 189.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked BESTIA | 76c | 180.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed KRÜ Blaze | 22c | 162.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked BESTIA | 78c | 160.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 141.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KRÜ Blaze | 22c | 140.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…9e69backed BESTIA | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed BESTIA | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Blaze | 21c | 112.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked KRÜ Blaze | 21c | 111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed KRÜ Blaze | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed KRÜ Blaze | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked BESTIA | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed BESTIA | 78c | 15.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular SeasonBESTIA won
- Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.