Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Karim Bennani vs Federico Bondioli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc726c370e7475022e381bffb95024f00a0028126b591b17f49d67b96753e2c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Bondioliof Karim Bennani, Federico Bondioli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Karim Bennani | 11c | 1,044$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…be6dbacked Karim Bennani | 12c | 897.72$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Federico Bondioli | 65c | 774.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.03 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Karim Bennani | 37c | 577.76$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karim Bennani | 36c | 500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Karim Bennani | 3c | 470$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karim Bennani | 12c | 425.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Karim Bennani | 16c | 353.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Federico Bondioli | 64c | 307.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Karim Bennani | 21c | 293.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Federico Bondioli | 63c | 215$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Federico Bondioli | 63c | 190.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…338abacked Federico Bondioli | 78c | 176.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Federico Bondioli | 73c | 136.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Karim Bennani | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Karim Bennani | 37c | 124.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karim Bennani | 13c | 115.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Federico Bondioli | 63c | 111.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Federico Bondioli | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Karim Bennani | 36c | 99.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Karim Bennani | 15c | 82.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Karim Bennani | 24c | 74.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Karim Bennani | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Karim Bennani | 37c | 34.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Federico Bondioli | 64c | 30.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Federico Bondioli | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Karim Bennani | 37c | 27.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Federico Bondioli | 70c | 26.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…3bc2backed Federico Bondioli | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Federico Bondioli | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Federico Bondioli | 73c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Federico Bondioli | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kosice: Karim Bennani vs Federico Bondiolithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bennani vs BondioliBondioli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.