Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Bastian Malla vs Nicolas Zanellato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcacbe458a0ada3b40e2044f6fd714ca5297e5738650d9e73da23e940843cc9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bastian Mallaof Bastian Malla, Nicolas Zanellato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bastian Malla | 75c | 2,996$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nicolas Zanellato | 5c | 1,550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicolas Zanellato | 37c | 1,508$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.94 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nicolas Zanellato | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Bastian Malla | 65c | 619.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.1 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Bastian Malla | 76c | 344.53$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Nicolas Zanellato | 37c | 179.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nicolas Zanellato | 29c | 166.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Bastian Malla | 56c | 153$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Bastian Malla | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Zanellato | 38c | 114.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Nicolas Zanellato | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Nicolas Zanellato | 37c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Nicolas Zanellato | 34c | 73.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Bastian Malla | 75c | 66.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nicolas Zanellato | 40c | 60.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bastian Malla | 56c | 58.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Bastian Malla | 57c | 54.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Nicolas Zanellato | 33c | 51.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nicolas Zanellato | 38c | 50.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Nicolas Zanellato | 44c | 45.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nicolas Zanellato | 42c | 44.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bastian Malla | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Bastian Malla | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nicolas Zanellato | 27c | 39.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…60e4backed Bastian Malla | 65c | 36.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Bastian Malla | 58c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Bastian Malla | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Bastian Malla | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Nicolas Zanellato | 44c | 24.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nicolas Zanellato | 50c | 23.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nicolas Zanellato | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Bastian Malla | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Bastian Malla vs Nicolas Zanellatothis page
- Set Handicap: Malla (-1.5) vs Zanellato (+1.5)Zanellato won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.