Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf3f65349bd50c496077ad526a10e90ea3067ef1a92cd53d6be6e874a2ef33b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 11c | 12,127$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes | 11c | 2,757$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 10c | 2,091$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,012$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 999.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 645.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 5c | 381.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 9c | 280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…0f2bbacked Yes | 11c | 145.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Yes | 10c | 142.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 10c | 124.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.