Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42c898bb53855dbad149c46cf86bb4fa1906e4657d54cff06a08060ee887341d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 5c | 22,300$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed No | 12c | 3,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 14c | 3,100$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 12c | 3,034$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 12c | 2,480$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc142…0f64backed No | 13c | 1,357$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +415.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 6c | 1,291$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 13c | 1,253$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 14c | 1,208$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 6c | 991.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 14c | 809.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 14c | 787.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 12c | 611.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 14c | 510.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 13c | 370.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 14c | 316$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 13c | 257.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 11c | 228.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…93d4backed No | 6c | 225$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 13c | 216.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed No | 14c | 215$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 13c | 205$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 7c | 203.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 14c | 194.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 15c | 184.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…b455backed No | 9c | 147.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 14c | 144$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 11c | 99.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 61.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…41c4backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar end in a draw?No won
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.