Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd05bb0430f882fb8993c706267d8d5f467b5658c0d3a8074318ff1e9c083e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 5,050$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 1,899$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 1c | 1,821$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,581$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,573$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 7c | 857.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 7c | 752$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 9c | 651.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 8c | 611.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 7c | 391.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 5c | 213.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…355abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 9c | 184.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…f4f1backed Yes | 8c | 143$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf818…1f65backed Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1f…dac3backed Yes | 8c | 139$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…5d00backed Yes | 8c | 138$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9984…03b2backed Yes | 8c | 133$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…318dbacked Yes | 8c | 129$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf777…44c7backed Yes | 9c | 128$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b5…d0c5backed Yes | 9c | 123$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.