Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7bedf72a2bce54a022a7dc8a611bf36403c13ba0b4db7dd362e575b3cb47431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,062$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.28 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 641.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 375$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 10c | 192.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 15c | 183.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 15c | 99.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.