Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Justas Trainauskas vs Jules Melot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd6d03f66b5eeab61607187538b37fe17de0b17347967563db5c918215753a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justas Trainauskasof Justas Trainauskas, Jules Melot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Justas Trainauskas | 41c | 1,516$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.25 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jules Melot | 56c | 1,124$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jules Melot | 62c | 607.62$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.89 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Justas Trainauskas | 33c | 430.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Justas Trainauskas | 40c | 334.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…459fbacked Jules Melot | 55c | 236.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Jules Melot | 58c | 186.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Jules Melot | 60c | 164.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Jules Melot | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Justas Trainauskas | 72c | 132.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Jules Melot | 65c | 105$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Jules Melot | 64c | 103.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 455 | 49.7%226 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Jules Melot | 79c | 98.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Jules Melot | 60c | 86.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Justas Trainauskas | 42c | 67.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Jules Melot | 53c | 54.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Justas Trainauskas | 40c | 52.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Justas Trainauskas | 44c | 47.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Justas Trainauskas | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justas Trainauskas | 45c | 39.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jules Melot | 34c | 32.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Jules Melot | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.