CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 6666 vs ASTRAL (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #5 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe36d59623ee71821b50ee35f94fd376282a2620aa826afabe9d0bdfa9a60ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof 6666, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0890…0646backed 6666 | 43c | 7,215$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ASTRAL | 73c | 7,125$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.81 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…7544backed 6666 | 36c | 4,242$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed 6666 | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed 6666 | 34c | 1,630$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed 6666 | 23c | 1,545$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.63 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 6666 | 27c | 1,107$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked ASTRAL | 60c | 910.55$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.07 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked 6666 | 16c | 690.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed ASTRAL | 60c | 568$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked ASTRAL | 67c | 543$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 477.25$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 6666 | 31c | 467.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…98fabacked ASTRAL | 68c | 431.16$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed ASTRAL | 55c | 363.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed ASTRAL | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed ASTRAL | 60c | 318.14$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 6666 | 18c | 312.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ASTRAL | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked 6666 | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed ASTRAL | 60c | 250.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed ASTRAL | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked 6666 | 30c | 242.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 6666 | 33c | 232.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked ASTRAL | 67c | 212$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL | 73c | 205.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed ASTRAL | 68c | 187.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed ASTRAL | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 6666 | 21c | 164.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed ASTRAL | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed ASTRAL | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked ASTRAL | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed 6666 | 32c | 143$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked 6666 | 31c | 130.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 124.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ASTRAL | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked 6666 | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed 6666 | 15c | 86.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked 6666 | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ASTRAL | 63c | 82.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed ASTRAL | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ASTRAL | 61c | 73.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed 6666 | 42c | 72.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ASTRAL | 77c | 58.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed 6666 | 31c | 56.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked 6666 | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL | 61c | 49.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 6666 | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…bf12backed ASTRAL | 65c | 46.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked ASTRAL | 68c | 45.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked 6666 | 34c | 41.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed 6666 | 35c | 40.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed 6666 | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed 6666 | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed ASTRAL | 59c | 35.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked ASTRAL | 68c | 27.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed ASTRAL | 66c | 27.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked ASTRAL | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…7de7backed ASTRAL | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed ASTRAL | 59c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked ASTRAL | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed ASTRAL | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.