Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Noemi Basiletti vs Lilli Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe7b07c94c7946951e7ae6980425fc9217d44fc399bf068c85f6a9fe2d66650b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilli Taggerof Noemi Basiletti, Lilli Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lilli Tagger | 78c | 5,903$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.39 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Noemi Basiletti | 27c | 3,655$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Noemi Basiletti | 6c | 3,014$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 2,658$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.38 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lilli Tagger | 73c | 1,928$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Noemi Basiletti | 19c | 1,549$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lilli Tagger | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noemi Basiletti | 17c | 591.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Noemi Basiletti | 23c | 526.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Lilli Tagger | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 394.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Noemi Basiletti | 20c | 385.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Noemi Basiletti | 20c | 383.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Noemi Basiletti | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lilli Tagger | 80c | 240.35$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Noemi Basiletti | 20c | 220.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Noemi Basiletti | 14c | 193.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Noemi Basiletti | 10c | 178.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Noemi Basiletti | 18c | 148.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Lilli Tagger | 74c | 140.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 81.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Noemi Basiletti | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Lilli Tagger | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lilli Tagger | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Noemi Basiletti | 20c | 57.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lilli Tagger | 73c | 40.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Noemi Basiletti | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lilli Tagger | 79c | 39.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Lilli Tagger | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Noemi Basiletti | 31c | 35.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lilli Tagger | 76c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.