Lol · resolved market
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea781ed69d78dd1c75a629765dcc4736230d8547fac86e910809850e09baadf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof DRX Challengers, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked T1 Academy | 65c | 24,499$15,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,517.89 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed DRX Challengers | 35c | 10,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 824 | 52.7%434 W · 390 L | +41.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed DRX Challengers | 35c | 6,593$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.55 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed DRX Challengers | 35c | 1,718$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.17 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed DRX Challengers | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 1,071 | 47.1%504 W · 567 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed DRX Challengers | 34c | 1,333$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed DRX Challengers | 35c | 1,320$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.8 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed DRX Challengers | 35c | 1,300$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.48 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed DRX Challengers | 35c | 1,200$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked DRX Challengers | 35c | 1,142$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.99 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed T1 Academy | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed T1 Academy | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 529 | 47.6%252 W · 277 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked T1 Academy | 72c | 372.1$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed DRX Challengers | 6c | 311.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked DRX Challengers | 5c | 199.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed DRX Challengers | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 298 | 23.8%71 W · 227 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed T1 Academy | 67c | 133.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DRX Challengers | 14c | 104.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked DRX Challengers | 12c | 100.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DRX Challengers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked T1 Academy | 73c | 85.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX Challengers | 34c | 47.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff PlayoffsT1 Academy won
- LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerDRX Challengers won
- LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.