Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed9587c2281df1a8e23c53ce1644b6e0436d3acf411f93f3071a6932cddf5e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 1,958$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.15 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed NRG | 75c | 1,370$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.53 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 642.28$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NRG | 54c | 480$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…d4d9backed NRG | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed NRG | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 243.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 61c | 183.48$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed NRG | 49c | 79.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked NRG | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed NRG | 67c | 39.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 25.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.