Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee3c00d82eca81b8599415079578c154f874c9236a2e375b8dae7cdeaf41b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 5,691$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 69c | 4,915$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,050$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,745$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.07 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,604$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…3706backed Yes | 2c | 884.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 832.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.73 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 568.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 30c | 530.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 403.21$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 374.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 68c | 305.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 280$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 9c | 212.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…2f01backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 135.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 43c | 114.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 83.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 35c | 62.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 74c | 46.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 40.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 67c | 32.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 69c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.