Tennis · resolved market
Tomas Etcheverry vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeecaba394438a466038a47ea0d06b4af8015d16ad45d55604040bfae6d0247d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 2,894$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.07 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 2,242$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.19 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.88 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 563.87$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 500$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.45 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 483$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.21 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 391$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 304.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 300.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over 3.5 | 75c | 280$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 215.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under 3.5 | 21c | 71.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 38.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 38.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 33.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…9d01backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tomas Etcheverry vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Etcheverry vs. Borges: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Etcheverry vs. Borges: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno BorgesNuno Borges won
- Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs BorgesBorges won
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Borges won
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)Borges won
- Tomas Etcheverry vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.