Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff15307d040040a35d9e0e86a2634326d9c384586d1a45a7608dc71ec47f37aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 3,456$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.86 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,011$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,576$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,459$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 68c | 924.78$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.93 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 69c | 921$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.51 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Yes | 8c | 627.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 32c | 440$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 76c | 263.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 214.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 57c | 175.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 57c | 175.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 32c | 160.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 58c | 159.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…b0f5backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 139.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 53c | 139.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 27c | 108.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 106.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 106.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebe…408ebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 71.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 74c | 71.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 77c | 69.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 42.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…c3b0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 68c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Rosenborg BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.