Tennis · resolved market
Athens Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Elina Nepliy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff604fc31ef86451f6619422f76d0266b00f857ca1264550683e23246de85d65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Viktoria Morvayovaof Viktoria Morvayova, Elina Nepliy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Elina Nepliy | 7c | 11,418$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.27 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 76c | 7,362$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.97 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Elina Nepliy | 24c | 6,934$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.24 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Elina Nepliy | 2c | 5,513$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Elina Nepliy | 21c | 1,279$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Elina Nepliy | 21c | 792$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Elina Nepliy | 26c | 718.62$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Viktoria Morvayova | 80c | 610.54$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Elina Nepliy | 26c | 581.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elina Nepliy | 15c | 459.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Elina Nepliy | 6c | 454.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Elina Nepliy | 14c | 377.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Viktoria Morvayova | 75c | 355.72$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elina Nepliy | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Elina Nepliy | 21c | 292.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Elina Nepliy | 21c | 271.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Elina Nepliy | 10c | 251.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elina Nepliy | 6c | 227.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Elina Nepliy | 24c | 219$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Viktoria Morvayova | 76c | 202.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 74c | 198.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elina Nepliy | 23c | 168.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Elina Nepliy | 25c | 153.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Elina Nepliy | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…c7e6backed Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 129.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 78c | 127.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Elina Nepliy | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elina Nepliy | 28c | 100.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ddc0backed Elina Nepliy | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Elina Nepliy | 21c | 96.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Elina Nepliy | 28c | 71.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Viktoria Morvayova | 72c | 62.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 80c | 57.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 76c | 56.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 244 | 74.2%181 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Elina Nepliy | 24c | 55.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 223 | 18.8%42 W · 181 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Elina Nepliy | 28c | 52.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 76c | 50.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Elina Nepliy | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Elina Nepliy | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Elina Nepliy | 25c | 45.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Viktoria Morvayova | 75c | 42.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Elina Nepliy | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Viktoria Morvayova | 75c | 34.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Viktoria Morvayova | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Viktoria Morvayova | 74c | 19.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 74c | 19.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.