Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6664e0db069197a2493076024e86ca6ec0492a20d0f9e8c3e14b47cfcc3b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Dellavedovaof Matthew Dellavedova, Shinji Hazawa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shinji Hazawa | 19c | 11,999$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Matthew Dellavedova | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed Matthew Dellavedova | 79c | 2,436$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…0552backed Matthew Dellavedova | 63c | 2,357$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Shinji Hazawa | 5c | 1,750$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Shinji Hazawa | 33c | 792.7$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.59 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Shinji Hazawa | 10c | 333.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 323.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Shinji Hazawa | 45c | 297.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Shinji Hazawa | 26c | 264.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Matthew Dellavedova | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Shinji Hazawa | 18c | 208.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 70c | 132.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Shinji Hazawa | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 108.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Shinji Hazawa | 23c | 97.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Shinji Hazawa | 23c | 97.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Shinji Hazawa | 23c | 97.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Matthew Dellavedova | 57c | 81.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Shinji Hazawa | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Shinji Hazawa | 47c | 55.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 68c | 52.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Shinji Hazawa | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Shinji Hazawa | 30c | 37.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Matthew Dellavedova | 57c | 34.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…2232backed Matthew Dellavedova | 63c | 31.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…10a1backed Matthew Dellavedova | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…cdb0backed Matthew Dellavedova | 50c | 21.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Matthew Dellavedova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Matthew Dellavedova | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.