College Football · resolved market
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff7b7dcb8afcd764e5612ba42ea8d2bcef9987bace9371e38e9b4e80a1f928ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw Stateof Louisiana Tech, Kennesaw State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Louisiana Tech | 47c | 27,591$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 9,766$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,571.8 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kennesaw State | 52c | 8,350$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.75 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 3,043$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.33 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Louisiana Tech | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kennesaw State | 52c | 1,905$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.94 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 1,486$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.42 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Louisiana Tech | 46c | 900$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Louisiana Tech | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Louisiana Tech | 47c | 596.49$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.46 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Kennesaw State | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 235.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 184.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed Louisiana Tech | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…3f97backed Kennesaw State | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-6.5)this page
- Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw StateKennesaw State won
- Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 46.5Under won
- O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-5.5)Kennesaw State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.