Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Detroit Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffcedb3dd922c5b3386aadea6b3bd80dfc6526ec8f73c5471117c3e8234df15b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oakland Golden Grizzliesof Oakland Golden Grizzlies, Detroit Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Detroit Titans | 32c | 932.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 73c | 813.81$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.08 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Detroit Titans | 25c | 786.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 78c | 712.75$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Titans | 22c | 664.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Detroit Titans | 33c | 545.15$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Detroit Titans | 15c | 446$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 72c | 383$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Detroit Titans | 9c | 288.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 77c | 222.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 77c | 209.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 74c | 208$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Detroit Titans | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Detroit Titans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Detroit Titans | 28c | 88.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Detroit Titans | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Detroit Titans | 26c | 43.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 72c | 27.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Detroit Titansthis page
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 167.5Over won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 168.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.