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Wallet 0x096b…7676

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$16,850 staked over 173 qualified picks in 23 categories, 13 of 23 below 50.

56

Best category

Euroleague

$1,934 staked over 8 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Euroleague board
55

Second best

Mls

$61 staked over 3 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full Mls board
55

Third best

NFL

$57 staked over 3 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.04 per pick.

See the full NFL board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$167.62 tailing 8 Euroleague picks (7 W · 1 L) at $50 each: +41.9% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Euroleague picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category23 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$1,934—too few: 8 picks2 h 42to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled+0.31131% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 131% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9+0.2464c+41.9%56
Mlslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT$61—too few: 3 picks1 h 46to the end, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.46102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3+0.4555c+81.5%55
NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$57—too few: 3 picks1 h 37to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.4099% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2+0.4060c+67.9%55
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTTexans vs. Jaguarson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TexansWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$16+69.5%+$10.94
Oct 11, 2026, EDT49ers vs. Seahawkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49ersWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$16+58.7%+$9.25
Oct 4, 2026, EDTBroncos vs. 49erson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49ersWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$26+75.4%+$19.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$115—too few: 5 picks2 h 41to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.25118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)580%4 W · 1 L+1.1+0.2159c+35.2%54
Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT$142—too few: 3 picks1 h 44to the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.2886% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0+0.3268c+51.5%54
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$106—too few: 2 picks3 h 20to the end, median over 112 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled+0.32103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6+0.3169c+46.9%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDTAlanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$39+26.6%+$10.34
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill Alanyaspor win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$67+67.1%+$45.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT$16—too few: 1 pick39 minto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.4096% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4258c+72.4%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 3, 2026, EDTUFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Imanol RodriguezWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$16+72.4%+$11.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$67—too few: 3 picks1 h 54to the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.09100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3+0.0958c+15%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 10, 2026, EDTSyracuse vs. Virginiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SyracuseLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 10, 2026, EDTArizona vs. West Virginiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArizonaWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$26+69.5%+$17.95
Oct 9, 2026, EDTFlorida State vs. Louisvilleon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LouisvilleWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$26+75.4%+$19.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT$4,840before 0%in play 100%, over 14 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start3 h 01to the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled+0.0297% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2+0.0270c+0.5%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDTScotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$600+31.9%+$191.34
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWill Croatia win on 2026-10-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$42+58.7%+$24.42
Oct 6, 2026, EDTLuxembourg vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$120-100%-$120
Oct 6, 2026, EDTKazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$2,300+29.4%+$675.54
Oct 5, 2026, EDTWill Cuba win on 2026-10-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$26-100%-$25.83
Oct 5, 2026, EDTWill Uganda vs. DR Congo end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Portugal win on 2026-10-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 3, 2026, EDTWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-10-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$16+72.4%+$11.41
Oct 3, 2026, EDTFinland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$600+29.9%+$179.22
Oct 2, 2026, EDTFaroe Islands vs. Slovakia: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$240+26.6%+$63.8
Oct 2, 2026, EDTLatvia vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$450+31.8%+$142.95
Oct 2, 2026, EDTWill Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$16+69.5%+$10.94
Oct 2, 2026, EDTKazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$300+26.6%+$79.75
Sep 29, 2026, EDTLuxembourg vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$100+29.9%+$29.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBAlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT$109—too few: 3 picks45 minto the end, median over 111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1+0.0363c+2.9%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWizards vs. Pelicanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PelicansWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$16+63.9%+$10.07
Oct 12, 2026, EDTBulls vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$78+44.8%+$34.96
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWarriors vs. Clipperson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$16-100%-$15.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHLlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$42—too few: 2 picks1 h 06to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.2-0.1262c-20.6%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSenators vs. Flyerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SenatorsLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 17, 2026, EDTHurricanes vs. Jetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HurricanesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$26+58.7%+$15.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2last settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT$4,284before 0%in play 100%, over 37 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start2 h 07to the end, median over 352 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.6-0.0261c-1.4%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz - Map 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$276-100%-$275.76
Oct 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FaZeLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$288-100%-$287.91
Oct 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: GenOne vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GenOneLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$178-100%-$177.66
Oct 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Rare Atom (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rare AtomWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$466+69.1%+$321.68
Oct 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: GenOne vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GenOneWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$288+69.7%+$200.71
Oct 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Lavked vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Spirit AcademyWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$288+64.7%+$186.17
Oct 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)fnaticLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$178-100%-$177.66
Oct 21, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Brute vs ex-6666 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BruteWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$179+74.6%+$133.39
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Los Niños (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los NiñosLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$67-100%-$67.41
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$110+66.7%+$73.08
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: BakS eSports vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BakS eSportsWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$727+25.5%+$185.19
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: GenOne vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GenOneLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$179-100%-$178.83
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs ex-6666 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ex-6666Won (open this pick on its own page)60c$110+66.1%+$72.46
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WRAITH PCIFICLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$42-100%-$41.58
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs ILLYRIANS - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WRAITH PCIFICLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$42-100%-$41.58
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Betclic Apogee EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$67+74.9%+$50.5
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIAWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$16+63.9%+$10.07
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs antidaun (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Privateer GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$16+70.6%+$11.11
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ENJOY vs 6666 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6666Won (open this pick on its own page)63c$26+58.7%+$15.17
Oct 9, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Grêmio EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 9, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$67+75.4%+$50.85
Oct 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)mellrenWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$19+60.4%+$11.3
Oct 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)60c$42-100%-$41.58
Oct 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2Lost (open this pick on its own page)60c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2Won (open this pick on its own page)62c$26+61.3%+$15.83
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT$72—too few: 2 picks3 h 15to the end, median over 123 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled-0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.3-0.1363c-16.7%49
WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$60—too few: 2 picks1 h 22to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.3-0.1565c-20.6%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTAtlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Golden State ValkyriesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$13+58.7%+$7.37
Oct 9, 2026, EDTAtlanta Dream vs. New York Libertyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New York LibertyLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$48-100%-$47.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$185—too few: 5 picks2 h 25to the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled-0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)560%3 W · 2 L-0.3-0.0767c-8.8%49
Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$28—too few: 2 picks1 h 41to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.4-0.1868c-16.7%48
La Ligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$127—too few: 5 picks1 h 50to the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)560%3 W · 2 L-0.5-0.1171c-15.2%48
MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT$26—too few: 1 pick1 h 01to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.63no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.6-0.6363c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 4, 2026, EDTAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles DodgersLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$26-100%-$25.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$697—too few: 3 picks1 h 12to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9-0.2962c-54.3%47
Dota2last settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$1,335before 0%in play 100%, over 13 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start1 h 42to the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2-0.0955c-23.4%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Power RangersLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$110-100%-$109.62
Oct 17, 2026, EDTDota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Zero TenacityLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 15, 2026, EDTDota 2: Xipto Esports vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Xipto EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 15, 2026, EDTDota 2: Execration vs Royal Bear - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Royal BearWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$16+61.3%+$9.65
Oct 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs salamit (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dawn BullsWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$16+63.9%+$10.07
Oct 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Yakult BrothersWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$16+59.2%+$9.33
Oct 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LynxWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$16+69.5%+$10.94
Oct 9, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AuroraWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$42+66.7%+$27.72
Oct 7, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Synapse vs LEGION - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SynapseLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$26-100%-$25.83
Oct 7, 2026, EDTDota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rostik TeamLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$42-100%-$41.58
Oct 2, 2026, EDTDota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$16+75.4%+$11.88
Oct 1, 2026, EDTDota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$990-100%-$990
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT$194—too few: 4 picks3 h 16to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)450%2 W · 2 L-0.9-0.2373c-26.3%46
Tennislast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$1,517before 3%in play 97%, over 39 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start44 minto the end, median over 404 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled-0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.3-0.0660c-10.5%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maya JointLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$110-100%-$109.62
Oct 20, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibaharaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Moyuka UchijimaWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$178+71.3%+$126.65
Oct 20, 2026, EDTGuangzhou 2: Kasidit Samrej vs Rio Noguchion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rio NoguchiLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$110-100%-$109.62
Oct 20, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Joneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Emerson JonesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$67-100%-$67.41
Oct 19, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouameon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lorenzo SonegoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$67-100%-$67.41
Oct 19, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acostaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Thiago Agustin TiranteLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$26-100%-$25.83
Oct 19, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworthon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Miomir KecmanovicLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 18, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Kayla Dayon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maya JointWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$16+66.7%+$10.5
Oct 17, 2026, EDTEuropean Open, Qualification: Aziz Dougaz vs Tom Gentzschon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tom GentzschLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$26-100%-$25.83
Oct 16, 2026, EDTSanta Cruz 2 (Doubles): Arias/Carou vs Miguel/Ribeiroon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Miguel/RibeiroWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$16+72.4%+$11.41
Oct 15, 2026, EDTMaia: Francesco Passaro vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Francesco PassaroWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$67+63.9%+$43.1
Oct 15, 2026, EDTOlbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir Dzumhuron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dimitar KuzmanovLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$42-100%-$41.58
Oct 15, 2026, EDTRovereto: Teodora Kostovic vs Martyna Kubkaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Teodora KostovicLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$26-100%-$25.83
Oct 14, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tommy PaulWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$16+66.7%+$10.5
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNallyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karolina MuchovaWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$26+75.4%+$19.49
Oct 14, 2026, EDTJinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tristan SchoolkateLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sonay KartalWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$16+72.4%+$11.41
Oct 13, 2026, EDTOlbia: Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhuron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Damir DzumhurWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$16+72.4%+$11.41
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCatania: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moelleron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Marvin MoellerWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$26+72.4%+$18.7
Oct 13, 2026, EDTLisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lolliaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Darja SemenistajaLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$16-100%-$15.75
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Sinja Krauson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Zeynep SonmezWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$31+36.3%+$11.09
Oct 10, 2026, EDTChina Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertenson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Qinwen ZhengWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$67+63.9%+$43.1
Oct 8, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcinaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cameron NorrieLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$30-100%-$29.56
Oct 7, 2026, EDTBraga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrinoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Matej DodigWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$26+63.9%+$16.51
Oct 7, 2026, EDTVillena: Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarveton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Francesco MaestrelliLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$16-100%-$15.75
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT$837before 0%in play 100%, over 13 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start3 h 08to the end, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1-0.1663c-34.9%44
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$288-100%-$287.91
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$178-100%-$177.66
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Club León FC win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$110-100%-$109.62
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$39-100%-$39
Oct 11, 2026, EDTGrêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$24+28.2%+$6.68
Oct 11, 2026, EDTRacing Club vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$24+29.9%+$7.17
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWill CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$42+66.7%+$27.72
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$26-100%-$25.83
Oct 5, 2026, EDTWill CD Riestra vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$16-100%-$15.75
Sep 21, 2026, EDTWill Club León FC win on 2026-09-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$30+25%+$7.46
Sep 21, 2026, EDTWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$30+47.1%+$14.04
Sep 17, 2026, EDTSC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$20-100%-$20
Aug 23, 2026, EDTSE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$12+49.1%+$5.84
All 13 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.