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Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

This feed has stopped updating. Wallets last checked , more than its 360-second limit.

StocksSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 5 wallets, $655 · No: 5 wallets, $1,058 5 of 10 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Stocks when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Stocks when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x38d8…ea7c#6 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$85646c+$1,014.3258
0x4818…bf0b#15 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6149c+$62.7556
0x9f20…12c3#17 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3952c+$3656
0x5c0a…a2c3#19 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1853c-$18.2755
0x510f…a43c#31 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1455c+$11.8754
0x2e3e…abea#49 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$41446c-$414.0453
0x21ff…0d71#54 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$8850c+$89.1252
0x5568…9ea3#88 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2153c-$21.252
0x0b81…b9fbNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$18838c-$187.7851
0x6ae0…b747#130 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1446c-$14.150

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 4 wallets, $881 · No: 5 wallets, $603 5 of 9 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Stocks when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Stocks when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x38d8…ea7c#6 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$42354c+$355.9958
0x764b…6bad#8 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2273c+$7.9857
0x4818…bf0b#15 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$9941c-$98.8556
0x9f20…12c3#17 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3279c+$8.2856
0x321e…9292#21 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10375c+$33.3255
0x2e3e…abea#49 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$72621c-$725.653
0x21ff…0d71#54 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2353c+$20.7752
0x24e8…4546#81 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$4635c-$45.8552
0x6ae0…b747#130 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1137c-$11.0650

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 2 wallets, $1,161 · No: 3 wallets, $1,103 3 of 5 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Stocks when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Stocks when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x38d8…ea7c#6 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$68967c+$345.4458
0x4818…bf0b#15 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$48022c-$479.7156
0x321e…9292#21 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$30980c+$79.2155
0x2e3e…abea#49 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$68122c-$681.4153
0x21ff…0d71#54 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10578c+$29.752

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 1 wallet, $129 · No: 1 wallet, $28 1 of 2 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Stocks when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Stocks when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x4818…bf0b#15 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$12935c+$239.9156
0x28bf…4a4eNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$2856c-$28.2251

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled more than a day ago, and the nightly update has not brought its result: we have not read this market yet, or no pick on it qualified. This is what the top 200 wallets bought.

1 position not shown: 1 worth under $10

2 other settled markets of this event are not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on them.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.