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Events

Events with no start time, such as a season or an election.

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What these columns mean
Place
Its place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.
Settles
The date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.
Event
The event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.
Top 200 wallets
How many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
PlaceIts place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.SettlesThe date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.EventThe event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.Top 200 walletsHow many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
1What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?Crypto Milestones64 wallets
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Commodities52 wallets
3Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028US Midterms52 wallets
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Middle East46 wallets
5Republican Presidential Nominee 2028US Midterms44 wallets
6Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Ukraine42 wallets
7Anthropic IPO by __?IPO39 wallets
8Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?World Politics34 wallets
9Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?Token Launches33 wallets
10Alaska Senate Election WinnerUS Midterms33 wallets
11What price will Bitcoin hit in November?Crypto Milestones33 wallets
12Which company has best AI model end of 2026?AI32 wallets
13What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?Crypto Milestones32 wallets
14Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)US Midterms31 wallets
15Next French Presidential ElectionWorld Politics30 wallets
16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Middle East29 wallets
17NATO x Russia military clash by...?Ukraine29 wallets
18Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?Tweets27 wallets
19Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Middle East26 wallets
20Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela25 wallets
21Fed Decision in December?Macro Indicators25 wallets
22"Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box OfficeMovies25 wallets
23GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?AI25 wallets
24Anthropic IPO Closing Market CapIPO24 wallets
25Presidential Election Winner 2028World Politics24 wallets
26Which company has the best AI model end of November?AI24 wallets
27Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Ukraine23 wallets
28Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Ukraine22 wallets
29Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?Ukraine22 wallets
30What price will Ethereum hit in November?Crypto Milestones22 wallets
31NC-03 House Election WinnerUS Midterms22 wallets
32How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?Fed Rates22 wallets
332026 World Chess Championship: WinnerChess22 wallets
34Iran full airspace closure by...?Middle East21 wallets
35Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?Token Launches20 wallets
36Gemini Carbon released by...?AI20 wallets
37How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?Fed Rates20 wallets
38How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Fed Rates20 wallets
39Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?Middle East20 wallets
40How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Fed Rates20 wallets
41Mississippi Senate Election WinnerUS Midterms19 wallets
42Next Prime Minister of Serbia?World Politics19 wallets
43Pro Football: 2027 ChampionNFL19 wallets
44Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?Token Launches18 wallets
45Oscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerMovies18 wallets
46Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?Ukraine17 wallets
47What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?Fed Rates17 wallets
48Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)Fed Rates17 wallets
49Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Ukraine17 wallets
50Which Senate races will be within 5%?US Midterms17 wallets
51How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?Fed Rates17 wallets
52US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?Commodities17 wallets
53Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Fed Rates16 wallets
54Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)Fed Rates16 wallets
55Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?IPO16 wallets
56Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?AI16 wallets
57Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?Ukraine16 wallets
58What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?Commodities16 wallets
59Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?Ukraine16 wallets
60Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Ukraine16 wallets
61What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?Crypto Milestones16 wallets
62Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?AI16 wallets
63Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Commodities15 wallets
64How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Fed Rates15 wallets
65Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?AI15 wallets
66Putin out as President of Russia by...?Ukraine14 wallets
67Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Middle East14 wallets
68"Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box OfficeMovies14 wallets
69Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?Ukraine14 wallets
70Next Prime Minister of SwedenWorld Politics14 wallets
71Largest Company end of December 2026?AI14 wallets
72How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?Fed Rates14 wallets
73How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Fed Rates14 wallets
74Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?Ukraine13 wallets
75US military action against Cuba by...?Venezuela13 wallets
76OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?AI13 wallets
77Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?IPO13 wallets
78Texas Senate Election Margin of VictoryUS Midterms13 wallets
79Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?World Politics13 wallets
80Gemini Carbon released on...?AI13 wallets
81Elon Musk # tweets November 7 - November 9, 2026?Tweets13 wallets
82Next Press Secretary announced by...?US Politics12 wallets
83Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?Token Launches12 wallets
84Iran leadership change by...?Middle East12 wallets
85Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?Ukraine12 wallets
86Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?Token Launches12 wallets
87"The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box OfficeMovies12 wallets
88CO-04 House Election WinnerUS Midterms12 wallets
89Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?Ukraine12 wallets
90What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?IPO12 wallets
91NBA: 2027 ChampionNBA12 wallets
92Worlds 2026: WinnerLeague of Legends11 wallets
93AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?AI11 wallets
94What price will Solana hit in 2026?Crypto Milestones11 wallets
95What price will Ethereum hit November 2-8?Crypto Milestones11 wallets
96When will Gemini Carbon be released?AI11 wallets
97Taipei Mayor Election WinnerWorld Politics11 wallets
98Which artists will release new albums in 2026?Music11 wallets
99FL-07 House Election WinnerUS Midterms11 wallets
100F1 Constructors' ChampionF111 wallets

Showing the first 100 of 2,255.

About this page
Which events are listed
  • An event is listed when a wallet in the top 200 of its category holds a position on one of its markets still open. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place in the top 200 for as long as its score would still put it there.
  • The position clears the Tail feed's bars: bought above 0c and at most 80c, worth at least $10, and not held on both sides. A buy made since we last read the wallet counts too, as it does on the event breakdown.
  • Today and tomorrow are US Eastern days for every reader. An event is listed from the day it starts until its last market settles. Only sports and esports events have a start time here: an election or a price is listed with no date, whatever date Polymarket gives it.
  • Each day is in order of how many top 200 wallets hold a position on an event, one wallet one vote, then of what they hold. A score weighs nothing here.