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EventUkraine

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

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UkraineStart: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Top 200 wallets

31

31 top 200 wallets hold a position on this event, 10 of them top 50

Members see every position: which wallet, which side, how much, at what price, and since when.

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NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 27 wallets, $16,942 · No: 16 wallets, $14,114 16 of 43 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x343d…cd2e#5 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$41278c+$118.364
0xd34b…0004#8 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4,55476c+$1,415.563
0xb17d…59ae#9 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2,08912c-$2,089.1463
0x92d0…269e#16 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$18317c-$182.9161
0xc23e…6499#45 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$49973c+$185.7559
0x1583…bdde#52 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$21318c-$213.3858
0xa6d9…fd2f#55 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4,89269c+$2,180.0858
0xf01a…f231#66 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1616c-$1658
0x768f…c7bd#71 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$3010c-$3058
0x5449…992b#83 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2522c-$25.2757
0xdf17…97d1#88 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6,38710c-$6,386.7457
0x5caa…ec5c#106 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$459c-$4557
Top 51 to 200
0xff91…ab3a#26 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,66878c+$458.4660
0x8d2e…d47e#94 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4054c+$34.0457
0xbc1f…8f78#98 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2079c+$5.1657
0xe5c9…6495#100 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5053c+$44.3457
0x0f18…5b28#107 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$468c-$46.3257
0x5ccf…79d7#109 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2,85613c-$2,856.1757
0x6725…1bf9#125 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$12059c+$84.556
0x198a…3ca3#147 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$23578c+$64.6856
0x57dc…414b#155 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$7373c+$2756
0xbada…d874#162 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2122c-$21.2156
0xe5bd…f03e#164 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$27723c-$276.9456
0x8b72…6dbe#175 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$44420c-$443.9555
0xad82…1075#185 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1080c+$2.555
0x8196…ab69#250 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$15010c-$15054
0xa58f…cec8#252 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6322c-$62.7354
0x193a…32c1#281 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1366c+$6.854
0x8de0…7f22#320 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,31475c+$438.0654
0x392a…262d#325 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$18963c+$11154
0xdec2…b015#350 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$12234c-$12254
0x4462…bfdf#399 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$4615c-$45.653
0xc048…27d0#414 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2577c+$7.4753
0x72f7…92f7No place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$1,35319c-$1,352.9153
0x38cf…d885No place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$5118c-$50.8253
0x5a0d…fa97#799 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$43820c-$437.9453
0xde09…dbdeNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$4933c-$49.553
0xeca0…e8f8#813 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1,09626c-$1,095.7353
0x4ecf…75d2#820 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$3216c-$3253
0x94bb…c320#915 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5118c-$50.7752
0x3825…04e8#1,001 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$36118c-$361.1652
0x0174…95b0#2,338 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1016c-$1051
0x9afe…062a#4,403 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$48830c-$48849

651 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

308 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

90 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

158 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.