Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0051c87d9444d13580bd85dc46adc19847c89a94c3e20ded52a10d68cfa1c1b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 49c | 9,420$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.19 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 53c | 6,076$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.24 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Over | 48c | 816.67$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.67 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 760.05$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.42 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 51c | 335.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 46c | 68.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 60c | 66.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 51c | 63.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Over | 51c | 59.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 53c | 52.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 44c | 34.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 44c | 29.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 59c | 23.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 54c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.