Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x597118fb133c52f1c97c8cdf082bf6314d7eacf9f7f5d2a0996b842cb79026ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 45c | 5,742$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.75 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…6583backed Under | 55c | 3,309$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.89 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Under | 56c | 1,838$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.64 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 45c | 778.24$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.21 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 14c | 772.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 60c | 526.19$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 193.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 154.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 53c | 71.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 23c | 67.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 46c | 64.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 52c | 61.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Under | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…db71backed Over | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 73 | 69.9%51 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Over | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 45c | 35.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 45c | 32.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 28.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.