Europa Conference League · resolved market
Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006fb3b638afa9109ecc16be64eac4eaba68e0d228c501029229453144ad72fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 940.07$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 714.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 517.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.98 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 75c | 494.74$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 40c | 433.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.56 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 399.95$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 355.77$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.67 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 216.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 27c | 182.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 76c | 125.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 53c | 113.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 59c | 109.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 88.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 40c | 67.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 49c | 65.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 62.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Over | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 44c | 48.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 42c | 46.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 79c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 51c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 47c | 31.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 28.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 68c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 78c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 44c | 23.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 44c | 23.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: Nõmme Kalju FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Linfield FC (-1.5)Nõmme Kalju FC won
- Spread: Linfield FC (-2.5)Nõmme Kalju FC won
- Spread: Nõmme Kalju FC (-1.5)Linfield FC won
- Spread: Nõmme Kalju FC (-2.5)Linfield FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.