Europa Conference League · resolved market
Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd40262faf0a8ab431d5c62e04aea92f5b0b206752c39c9ee0765a10608061548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Under | 61c | 3,995$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 39c | 3,500$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 2,273$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.38 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,244$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.41 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 884.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Over | 38c | 554.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 77c | 513$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.96 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 47c | 441.65$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 48c | 371.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 26c | 341.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.73 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 314.07$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 78c | 259.77$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 33c | 258.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 22c | 256.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 53c | 247.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 214.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 37c | 189.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 78c | 171.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 21c | 154.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 48c | 135.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 58c | 129.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 68c | 118.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 42c | 109.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 67c | 109.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 97.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…a7fabacked Over | 39c | 94.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 61c | 93.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 59c | 90.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 72.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under | 67c | 64.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 57.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 73c | 40.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 40c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 24.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Under | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 62c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 76c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: Nõmme Kalju FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Linfield FC (-1.5)Nõmme Kalju FC won
- Spread: Linfield FC (-2.5)Nõmme Kalju FC won
- Spread: Nõmme Kalju FC (-1.5)Linfield FC won
- Spread: Nõmme Kalju FC (-2.5)Linfield FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.