Tennis · resolved market
Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Garrett Johns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0075b296b19c52d1a9d6630baffe8e0ede64ad0a4fdf4e2d6676383e29fcf55f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Glinkaof Daniil Glinka, Garrett Johns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Garrett Johns | 28c | 19,512$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,554.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed Daniil Glinka | 39c | 12,469$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,568.4 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Garrett Johns | 3c | 12,067$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Garrett Johns | 34c | 11,558$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniil Glinka | 66c | 4,488$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniil Glinka | 66c | 4,003$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.17 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Garrett Johns | 26c | 3,464$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.69 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Garrett Johns | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniil Glinka | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Garrett Johns | 3c | 692.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Garrett Johns | 27c | 518.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Garrett Johns | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Garrett Johns | 3c | 429.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Garrett Johns | 3c | 427.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Garrett Johns | 25c | 349.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Garrett Johns | 6c | 313.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Garrett Johns | 43c | 255.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Garrett Johns | 36c | 243$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Garrett Johns | 35c | 229.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daniil Glinka | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Garrett Johns | 46c | 174.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Daniil Glinka | 60c | 167.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Garrett Johns | 12c | 160.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniil Glinka | 59c | 144$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Garrett Johns | 46c | 134.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Garrett Johns | 37c | 127.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Daniil Glinka | 40c | 123.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Garrett Johns | 42c | 118.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Garrett Johns | 34c | 117.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Daniil Glinka | 50c | 116.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…3f90backed Garrett Johns | 55c | 113.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Garrett Johns | 36c | 112.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Daniil Glinka | 78c | 96.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Daniil Glinka | 76c | 94.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Garrett Johns | 35c | 85.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Daniil Glinka | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Daniil Glinka | 65c | 76.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Daniil Glinka | 56c | 66.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniil Glinka | 70c | 60.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Daniil Glinka | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Garrett Johns | 31c | 55.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Garrett Johns | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Daniil Glinka | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Daniil Glinka | 47c | 37.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Daniil Glinka | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Garrett Johns | 47c | 31.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Daniil Glinka | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Daniil Glinka | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Daniil Glinka | 65c | 28.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Daniil Glinka | 65c | 26.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Garrett Johns | 62c | 24.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Daniil Glinka | 54c | 23.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Daniil Glinka | 49c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Daniil Glinka | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Garrett Johns | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Garrett Johns | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Garrett Johns | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Garrett Johnsthis page
- Glinka vs. Johns: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.