TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ground Zero Gamingof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, Ground Zero Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd795…6fcdbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming2c2,493$50 inLost-$49.8531435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming11c2,073$229 inLost-$229.2894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming32c1,667$539 inLost-$539.2221756.7%123 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming3c1,000$30 inLost-$307869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Ground Zero Gaming43c800$341 inWon+$45975342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming56c743.06$419 inLost-$418.919839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming5c399.98$20 inLost-$201,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming5c366.67$20 inLost-$2031522.9%72 W · 243 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Ground Zero Gaming33c306.47$100 inWon+$206.4774344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Ground Zero Gaming53c289$153 inWon+$136.4669041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Ground Zero Gaming49c225.59$110 inWon+$115.596134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Ground Zero Gaming63c220$139 inWon+$81.416842.9%72 W · 96 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming37c220$81 inLost-$81.454129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Ground Zero Gaming55c200$110 inWon+$907051.4%36 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ee…7f1ebacked Ground Zero Gaming49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.04850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming40c100$40 inLost-$4022250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1229…3691backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming28c100$28 inLost-$28.1613644.9%61 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Ground Zero Gaming49c67.95$33 inWon+$34.651,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Ground Zero Gaming49c25$12 inWon+$12.7539239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ground Zero Gaming55c24.44$13 inWon+$11.1159952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ground Zero Gaming47c24$11 inWon+$12.761,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.