TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gamingof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, Ground Zero Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,452 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ground Zero Gaming0c3,788$13 inLost-$12.6289810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Ground Zero Gaming7c1,067$77 inLost-$76.71,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming60c1,058$631 inWon+$427.1621756.7%123 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaddf…5340backed Ground Zero Gaming8c1,000$80 inLost-$801030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Ground Zero Gaming5c600$30 inLost-$301,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Ground Zero Gaming10c530.47$53 inLost-$53.051,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ground Zero Gaming48c300$145 inLost-$1452,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Ground Zero Gaming50c300$150 inLost-$15012433.9%42 W · 82 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Ground Zero Gaming66c287.57$191 inLost-$190.922,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming47c122$58 inWon+$64.081,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ground Zero Gaming53c53.4$28 inLost-$28.339044.9%175 W · 215 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6106…ed80backed Ground Zero Gaming59c40.6$24 inLost-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Ground Zero Gaming50c40.59$20 inLost-$20.375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Ground Zero Gaming35c31$11 inLost-$10.851,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming33c30.57$10 inWon+$20.442,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked Ground Zero Gaming43c30.34$13 inLost-$13.25644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming36c29.88$11 inWon+$19.1266445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.