Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00ac02fa48e44441a8d41637b91dcfde4bcefa40f08795fabdedb5b00ae41ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramzes Clubof Ramzes Club, TPaBoMaH Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Ramzes Club | 54c | 1,709$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.86 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TPaBoMaH Club | 42c | 861.69$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.71 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TPaBoMaH Club | 48c | 537.73$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TPaBoMaH Club | 17c | 428.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed TPaBoMaH Club | 50c | 378.28$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ramzes Club | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked TPaBoMaH Club | 40c | 255.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…cb30backed TPaBoMaH Club | 62c | 241.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Ramzes Club | 73c | 176.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Ramzes Club | 44c | 150.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked TPaBoMaH Club | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Ramzes Club | 30c | 146.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked TPaBoMaH Club | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked TPaBoMaH Club | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…8c23backed Ramzes Club | 54c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…b86cbacked TPaBoMaH Club | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Ramzes Club | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ramzes Club | 45c | 31.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…7bdabacked TPaBoMaH Club | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…133ebacked Ramzes Club | 75c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club - Game 1 WinnerTPaBoMaH Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.