TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Giuliano Simeone be in Argentina's Starting 11?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,147 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c97…fa05backed No72c543.87$392 inWon+$152.321968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes25c420$105 inLost-$10528731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No75c386$288 inWon+$98.3655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa00…18b1backed No75c200$150 inWon+$501776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+68.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes35c194.88$68 inLost-$68.214337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No50c40$20 inWon+$2048961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5c5a…aabebacked No65c38.46$25 inWon+$13.46977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No70c35.5$25 inWon+$10.6548140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3d…b7f1backed Yes50c20$10 inLost-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.