TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Nicolás Otamendi be in Argentina's Starting 11?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,972 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55dc…19a3backed Yes1c1,669$11 inLost-$10.511513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked No23c248.24$56 inWon+$191.866031.7%19 W · 41 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes77c199.99$155 inLost-$154.5945736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e5…753abacked No23c192$44 inWon+$148.044332.6%14 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1214…ebecbacked No9c125.94$11 inWon+$114.491145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+206.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fbd…2a3fbacked No55c100$55 inWon+$45875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No55c78.68$44 inWon+$35.0516854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes77c40$31 inLost-$30.77639.5%30 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes46c23.27$11 inLost-$10.672,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes77c21$16 inLost-$16.2316246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1a…c7b1backed Yes79c20$16 inLost-$15.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked Yes79c20$16 inLost-$15.863638.9%14 W · 22 L-9.0wins-0.25per pick64cpaid-35%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xa87d…6871backed No60c20$12 inWon+$81090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+65.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.