CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs TNT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00dd6012f4529789f90fde3dadf0746ada911852a9a98aa8ce3585ff353ca2ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNTof MANA eSports, TNT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 66c | 3,813$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed TNT | 34c | 3,049$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.84 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…f2cebacked TNT | 53c | 3,036$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TNT | 30c | 1,700$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.03 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 64c | 1,642$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TNT | 38c | 1,575$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.65 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TNT | 50c | 970.86$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.04 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MANA eSports | 71c | 747.54$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed MANA eSports | 35c | 596$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked TNT | 20c | 504.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.49 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MANA eSports | 5c | 494$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed MANA eSports | 68c | 446.03$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MANA eSports | 30c | 365$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MANA eSports | 64c | 339.17$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed TNT | 45c | 325.01$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.78 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked MANA eSports | 28c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked TNT | 34c | 291.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked MANA eSports | 66c | 267$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked MANA eSports | 71c | 247.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed MANA eSports | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNT | 24c | 196.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c1…b6f3backed TNT | 36c | 167.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MANA eSports | 50c | 162.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed TNT | 35c | 158.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed MANA eSports | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MANA eSports | 13c | 142.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed TNT | 37c | 113.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 68c | 108.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TNT | 18c | 108.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked TNT | 29c | 95.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked MANA eSports | 75c | 94.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked TNT | 42c | 84.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MANA eSports | 66c | 79.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MANA eSports | 52c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MANA eSports | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked MANA eSports | 64c | 62.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked MANA eSports | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed MANA eSports | 59c | 46.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed TNT | 59c | 45.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed TNT | 27c | 43.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed MANA eSports | 78c | 41.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked TNT | 36c | 35.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed MANA eSports | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MANA eSports | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed TNT | 69c | 19.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs TNT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs TNT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs TNT - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.