Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00ec0addd75d8c89bb8d8f4d63c74bab89ec1061591b376b0bad7f291ca47c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 10c | 45,661$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.53 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 14,214$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.85 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 1,541$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 39c | 1,077$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.12 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 4c | 1,070$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 34c | 456$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 4c | 388.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 8c | 342.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 4c | 335.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 8c | 190.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed No | 11c | 165.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 64c | 135.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 103.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 36c | 83.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 51.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 61c | 35.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 62c | 33.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 24.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 18.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?No won
- Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.