South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0115dac34ef75f1ad3f6a854be678a6412302a1c95070233e9c71f83d30fc820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 6,944$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.32 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 2,990$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.39 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 2,773$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.86 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 1,433$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 1,389$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,127$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.08 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 20c | 344.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 277$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 14c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 19c | 60.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 56.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 48.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 30.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.