Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x013035f4f4f5ebb411f46d4a50c3b7e14942bdaa80dd85bc922fb82f47c57610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Wolves Esports, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b04…cf8bbacked Wolves Esports | 2c | 796.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Wolves Esports | 50c | 578.77$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Trace Esports | 52c | 566.49$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trace Esports | 64c | 485.4$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Wolves Esports | 42c | 335.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Wolves Esports | 47c | 324.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trace Esports | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Trace Esports | 69c | 264.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Wolves Esports | 43c | 253.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 57c | 233.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…8436backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 160.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Wolves Esports | 50c | 154.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Trace Esports | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Wolves Esports | 25c | 113.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 110.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Wolves Esports | 28c | 105.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Trace Esports | 58c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Wolves Esports | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Wolves Esports | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Wolves Esports | 47c | 88.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Wolves Esports | 24c | 88.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Trace Esports | 57c | 85.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Trace Esports | 61c | 80.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Trace Esports | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Wolves Esports | 50c | 77.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Trace Esports | 80c | 75.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trace Esports | 58c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 69.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports | 60c | 68.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trace Esports | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Wolves Esports | 51c | 48.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Wolves Esports | 50c | 46.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Wolves Esports | 63c | 43.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Trace Esports | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Wolves Esports | 48c | 38.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 36.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Trace Esports | 50c | 35.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Trace Esports | 57c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed Wolves Esports | 47c | 21.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Wolves Esports | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Wolves Esports | 69c | 15.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 2 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.