Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Trungelliti vs Hanfmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016735f52b303e1db5944ae5f4bee7232888fc9e5507ae4784799360990a3cd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanfmannof Trungelliti, Hanfmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc398…f446backed Hanfmann | 62c | 1,615$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.39 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trungelliti | 40c | 1,376$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.58 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Hanfmann | 57c | 1,046$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.71 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Trungelliti | 42c | 554.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.53 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Trungelliti | 41c | 477.46$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Trungelliti | 55c | 279.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trungelliti | 51c | 225.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Trungelliti | 39c | 221$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Hanfmann | 59c | 153.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Hanfmann | 45c | 126.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Trungelliti | 25c | 120.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Hanfmann | 46c | 106.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Trungelliti | 49c | 103.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Trungelliti | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Hanfmann | 45c | 98.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanfmann | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Trungelliti | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Hanfmann | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Hanfmann | 65c | 39.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Trungelliti | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hanfmann | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Trungelliti vs Hanfmannthis page
- Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick HanfmannYannick Hanfmann won
- Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs HanfmannHanfmann won
- Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)Hanfmann won
- Trungelliti vs. Hanfmann: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.