Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01771692dda0f48c952dcd0cf0e652763f5c08f182095927f3219bf0b000fb67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,019$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 873.86$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.26 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 434$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 53c | 256.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 150.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 115.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 52c | 94.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 30c | 84.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 62.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 69c | 51.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 36c | 40.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 39c | 34.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 36c | 29.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 59c | 26.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…b869backed Under | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5this page
- Orlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.