Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Navone vs Cobolli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ccee1c0f2f1d32815391953f6af2dc500a28cd5a0cbf24673cabfb977a520c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Navone, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d8c2backed Cobolli | 67c | 1,450$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Navone | 33c | 960.22$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4db…8d30backed Cobolli | 59c | 301.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Navone | 33c | 252.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Navone | 33c | 187$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Navone | 41c | 160.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Navone | 59c | 150.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Navone | 41c | 135$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cobolli | 60c | 129.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Navone | 61c | 108.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Navone | 47c | 98.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Cobolli | 28c | 73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Navone | 37c | 50.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Navone | 47c | 47.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cobolli | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cobolli | 46c | 28.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cobolli | 66c | 21.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…3ca5backed Navone | 61c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Navone vs Cobollithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Navone vs CobolliNavone won
- Set 3 Winner: Navone vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set 4 Winner: Navone vs CobolliCobolli won
- Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.