CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d9dd3961f05bfdd38101e2685f7680e7e30d02bbc171547ef4caa8e1c667ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clutchainof Clutchain, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ex-MANA eSports | 31c | 619.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ex-MANA eSports | 12c | 473.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 32c | 419.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Clutchain | 79c | 388.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 18c | 280.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 273.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Clutchain | 77c | 239.2$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clutchain | 61c | 172.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 155.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Clutchain | 71c | 127.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Clutchain | 69c | 118$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-MANA eSports | 24c | 116.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Clutchain | 70c | 103.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…03d7backed ex-MANA eSports | 36c | 96.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2605backed Clutchain | 51c | 94.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…01fcbacked Clutchain | 51c | 90.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Clutchain | 68c | 81.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 75.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Clutchain | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f372backed Clutchain | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Clutchain | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…9f91backed Clutchain | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Clutchain | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerClutchain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.